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Euro advances and gold holds firm as dollar softens before claims and UK GDP 

ทีม ADFX

Market Recap 

XAUUSD 
Gold (XAUUSD) traversed a 63.87-point session on Wednesday, a move equal to 1.58% of the open, finishing modestly higher. The market opened at 4053.36 and slipped to the intraday low of 4017.40 by 11:14, keeping the 4000 figure intact, before rebounding into the New York afternoon to print the session high at 4081.27 at 21:31, marking the 4080 handle. It settled at 4059.92, up 6.56 points or 0.162% on the day, closing in the upper half of the range and roughly 21 points below the peak. The path featured an early decline from the 4050 area, a mid-morning trough near 4020, and a steady recovery that reclaimed the 4050 handle and tested 4080 into the late session, with no retest of the day’s low after midday. On higher timeframes, the 21-day EMA stands at 4119.15, leaving spot below that reference into the close, while the daily upper Bollinger Band is positioned higher at 4206.12. The recent 5-day high at 4134.77 remained out of reach. On the intraday technical side, the H4 MACD signal reads -13.62. By the close, price action had moved away from the session midpoint and held above the opening level, with trading confined between the 4020s and the 4080s and the round-number level at 4000 untested. No daily ATR reference was provided for context against the day’s realized range. 

EURUSD 
EURUSD closed at 1.15, up 0.004 (0.35%) from the 1.14 open. The session spanned 0.0076, equal to 0.67% of the open and 140.9% of the D1 ATR. The day’s low printed at 15:10 near 1.14, holding above the 1.1400 figure and above the 10-day low at 1.14, before price advanced into the late session to set the high at 21:33 at 1.15. That high registered fresh 5-day and 10-day highs, while the pair settled in the upper portion of the range, below the peak and above 1.1450, leaving the close nearer the top than the bottom. Intraday structure showed an early dip from the open toward 1.14, trading around that level, and a subsequent rise that stopped short of the 1.1500 figure. On the higher timeframes, the daily 21-EMA was around 1.14, with EURUSD ending the session above that reference. The MACD signal lines on D1 and H4 hovered near zero into the close. Overall, the high remained below the 1.1500 round number while the low stayed above 1.1400, keeping price action contained between those figures and above the referenced 10-day low. By the close, the pair’s positioning in the upper third of the day’s range, alongside a range that exceeded the recent daily average as proxied by the D1 ATR, summarized a session of range expansion within a defined 1.14–1.15 band. 

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview 

A mixed set of releases saw China’s economy slow while North American policy stayed steady: China GDP grew 4.3 percent year over year, down from 5.0 previously but a touch above the 4.2 forecast, and the Bank of Canada left its policy rate unchanged at 2.0 percent, the same as the prior setting. Looking ahead, the UK opens Thursday’s slate with monthly GDP at 09:00 server time; output is projected to be flat at 0.0 percent month over month after a 0.1 percent contraction previously. The US then reports Initial Jobless Claims at 15:30, with claims expected at 222,000 following 215,000 last week. A lower-than-forecast claims number could firm perceptions of labor-market resilience. With both data points landing before key US activity indicators later in the month, market focus is on near-term growth momentum in the UK and the weekly pulse of US layoffs; the 15:30 release often influences front-end rates and can prompt brief volatility in the dollar and Treasury futures. No major central bank decisions are scheduled in this window, though any unscheduled remarks could color rate expectations at the margin. Overall, the day’s risk hinges on whether UK activity stabilizes as anticipated and whether US claims drift toward the forecast after last week’s lower print. 

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